OpenAI's status page confirms a full Codex outage spanning Web, API, CLI, and VS Code extension on Sep 25, 2026 with API-key login as the workaround, exposing single-provider availability risk for coding-agent workflows until the incident resolves with timing and root-cause disclosure.
state: corroboratedheat: lowuncertainty: mediumconvergesscott: highcoding-agent-infrastructure provider-outage openaiOpenAI
What is this?
Codex is OpenAI's coding agent, delivered across four surfaces: Codex Web (browser), the developer-facing API, a local CLI, and a VS Code extension. The case's canonical evidence is OpenAI's own status-page incident ('Issues with Codex – Identified – Full Outage') marking all four surfaces down on Sep 25, 2026, echoed by a 'Tell HN: Codex Is Down' community thread, with API-key login recorded as the interim workaround. The supplied web coverage confirms this incident class is real and recurring — a Sep 3, 2026 incident degraded every tracked Codex and ChatGPT component simultaneously, and AIWatch logs 6 Codex incidents in the last 30 days averaging ~7h recovery, which it attributes to Codex sharing backend infrastructure with ChatGPT and the OpenAI API. The snippets do not independently confirm the Sep 25 date or the API-key-login workaround; the nearest dated incidents in the supplied material are Sep 3 and Jun 3, 2026.
Why it matters to Scott
A live hit on his own stack, not just his topic: ask routes its default calls through codex via the LAN LiteLLM proxy and proposal runs resumable Codex jobs, so a four-surface outage — with the reported API-key-login workaround mapping onto his open ChatGPT-login-vs-API-key codex auth question — immediately tests whether his multi-provider fallback engages automatically or only behind explicit flags. It converges with what vendor-lock-in and sovereign-software-assurance already argue (the 'provider vanishes tomorrow' counterfactual, partially live-tested), and the grounding's recurrence data (six Codex incidents in 30 days on shared ChatGPT/API backend) upgrades a tail-risk claim into a dated-receipts publishing opportunity continuing the Anthropic Aug 2026 outage lineage.
ip:framework.sovereign-software-assuranceip:concept.vendor-lock-indev:project.askdev:technology.codex-clidev:technology.litellmdev:project.proposalradar:anthropic-claude-aug-2026-outageradar:claude-code-econnreset-spikeradar:bounce-router-usage-failoverradar:github-outage-retry-storm
queries asked of Scott's wikis
- codex CLI auth in my setup: ChatGPT login vs API key
- single-provider dependency / vendor lock-in for coding-agent workflows
- multi-provider fallback and model routing in my agent harnesses
- local or open-weight models as outage fallback for coding agents
- agent infrastructure reliability: retries, degradation, incident handling
Measured heat
now 0 pts/hpeak 2 pts/hcomments 0/hpeers p14momentum: steady3 platformsage 410h
points/hour across evidence · reading as of 2026-10-12 02:59:37.977291+11:00 · deterministic, not a model opinion
How the heat travelled
pace: p74 vs 1032 stories at the 336h mark (now 410h old) — ahead of magic-v5-pretraining-efficiency (1.0x), behind openai-collective-cyber-defense (1.0x)
Evidence (5) — ⭐ canonical anchor
| source | object | author | score | comments |
| 🟧 hn | Tell HN: Codex Is Down | minimaxir | 65 | 73 |
| 🟧 hn | Issues with Codex – Identified – Full OutageRetrieved article excerptOpen article · Retrieved 2026-09-25T23:26:07.047717+00:00 [# OpenAI](https://status.openai.com/)
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Issues with Codex
Identified·Full outage
Login via API key will unblock access at this time.
Fri, Sep 25, 2026, 11:19 PM
(6 minutes ago)
·
[View all updates](https://status.openai.com/incidents/01M3DCNWMW57HYK8FJ5FBFPA39#updates)
Affected components
10:58 PM
Now
Codex
4 affected components
Codex Web
Codex API
CLI
VS Code extension
Updates
Identified
Login via API key will unblock access at this time.
Fri, Sep 25, 2026, 11:19 PM
Identified
We have identified that users are experiencing elevated errors for the impacted services.
We are working on implementing a mitigation.
Fri, Sep 25, 2026, 11:03 PM(16 minutes earlier)
Identified
We have identified that users are experiencing a codex outage.
We have identified the internal issue and are heading towards a mitigation.
Fri, Sep 25, 2026, 10:58 PM
Issues with Codex - OpenAI Status | xyzzy9563 | 27 | 1 |
| 🟧 echo.other ⭐ | OpenAI status incident page, "Issues with Codex" (Identified · Full outage). Updates: 10:58 PM Fri Sep 25, 2026 — "We have identified that u | OpenAI | — | — |
| 🟠 reddit | Codex still not working 10:41pm EST? OpenAI | pardesco | 2 | 13 |
| 🟧 hn | Microsoft Azure OpenAI Service Down in EU | hek2sch | 2 | 0 |
Interpretation history
2026-09-29T16:30:57Z
The episode's meaning has shifted from 'live sustained outage awaiting resolution' to 'closed incident with an uncaptured ending': engagement is at floor (0.33 pts/h, 122h old, 0 comments/h; the 71.5 peer percentile is an age-cohort coasting artifact, not live speed), and the ~7h average recovery pattern implies Codex recovered within hours of the last capture — yet resolution time, root cause, and workaround efficacy were never caught. The new Azure OpenAI EU item (2 pts / 0 comments, no date, page, or body) is too thin to broaden the claim into an OpenAI-wide serving-stack wave; it stays a lead, not a material fact, so the quiet clock keeps running.
2026-09-29T15:28:28Z
evidence attached: hn.story.49893997 — Azure OpenAI outage in EU within the same window suggests the serving-stack incident wave extends beyond Codex itself, broadening the availability-risk claim if confirmed.
2026-09-26T03:27:01Z
The incident has graduated from fresh report to a confirmed multi-hour full outage: independent user reports on HN and Reddit document Codex still down ~4.5h past identification, with no resolution or root-cause update captured yet. Meaning shifts from 'incident being confirmed' to 'sustained single-provider failure awaiting resolution disclosure' — a live-test of Scott's own stack that keeps it in the Anthropic-outage lineage; the velocity spike rides the initial burst (95.5/h peak, now ~16/h steady) on a status-page story whose comments were merged away, so heat stays medium rather than high.
2026-09-26T03:22:47Z
evidence attached: reddit.post.1wqf70u — User report that Codex remained down late into the evening documents the incident's persistence for the open outage case.
2026-09-25T23:41:46Z
origin walked (opencode/cheap-glm, conf 0.98): anchor hn.story.49851169 -> echo.other.72c8ad90d1 by OpenAI
2026-09-25T23:34:37Z
grounded: converges/high — A live hit on his own stack, not just his topic: ask routes its default calls through codex via the LAN LiteLLM proxy and proposal runs resumable Codex jobs, so
2026-09-25T23:26:59Z
case created — One bounded incident: the community-side report and OpenAI's own status-page confirmation (claim owner's artifact, so it anchors) are the same episode, currently in active mitigation.
Decision trace
- 10-05 13:42drop_targetsquiet through full ladder or over cap 8
- 10-05 09:02drop_targetsquiet through full ladder or over cap 8
- 09-30 02:30repriceThe episode's meaning has shifted from 'live sustained outage awaiting resolution' to 'closed incident with an uncaptured ending': engagement is at floor (0.33 pts/h, 122h old
- 09-30 01:28attachAzure OpenAI outage in EU within the same window suggests the serving-stack incident wave extends beyond Codex itself, broadening the availability-risk claim if confirmed.
- 09-30 01:28propose_attachAzure OpenAI outage in EU within the same window suggests the serving-stack incident wave extends beyond Codex itself, broadening the availability-risk claim if confirmed.
- 09-26 20:35review_screenjev screen: no material development (noul=0.04)
- 09-26 14:20sensor_dirtycomment_update
- 09-26 13:27repriceThe incident has graduated from fresh report to a confirmed multi-hour full outage: independent user reports on HN and Reddit document Codex still down ~4.5h past identification, with no resolution or
- 09-26 13:22attachUser report that Codex remained down late into the evening documents the incident's persistence for the open outage case.
- 09-26 13:22propose_attachUser report that Codex remained down late into the evening documents the incident's persistence for the open outage case.
- 09-26 10:21sensor_dirtyvelocity_spike
- 09-26 10:21sensor_dirtycomment_update
- 09-26 09:41promote_anchororigin walk conf 0.98
- 09-26 09:34groundA live hit on his own stack, not just his topic: ask routes its default calls through codex via the LAN LiteLLM proxy and proposal runs resumable Codex jobs, so a four-surface outage — with the report
- 09-26 09:26createOne bounded incident: the community-side report and OpenAI's own status-page confirmation (claim owner's artifact, so it anchors) are the same episode, currently in active mitigation.
- 09-26 09:24propose_attachOpenAI's own status page confirms the incident as 'Identified – Full Outage', the first-party confirmation for the case.