coding-models

band: coolmomentum: stable score: 0.085

temperature history

Episodes (6)

Independent benchmarks will determine whether Poolside's 120B-class Laguna-S 2.1 is competitive for coding and practical local inference.

resolvedknownscott: medium

Independent evaluation and eventual weight access will determine whether the Looping 20B recipe can match or exceed Qwen3 Coder 30B after pretraining on roughly one-tenth as many tokens.

expiredknownscott: low

Independent evaluations will determine whether Nanbeige4.2-3B's looped-transformer architecture delivers unusually strong agentic and coding performance for a 3B model.

expiredknownscott: medium

Independent evaluations will determine whether Upstage's Solar Open 2 250B-A15B matches leading open-weight models on coding and agentic tasks while materially reducing long-context inference costs.

expiredconvergesscott: medium

Independent evaluations will determine whether Bad Theory Labs' 27B BTL-3 retains useful coding and tool-use capability at its claimed 8.39GB ultra-quantized size.

expiredknownscott: low

Anthropic's Sonnet 5.5 — reportedly given a last-minute upgrade after circulating benchmarks showed it beating GPT-6 Sol at coding — is expected to ship Monday; a confirmed release at that claimed standing would make it Anthropic's direct mid-tier answer to OpenAI's coding lead.

resolvedconvergesscott: medium

Trajectory notes

2026-09-28T20:18:20Z: anthropic-sonnet-5-5-release closed (absorbed) — If Sonnet 5.5 ships Monday at anything like claimed standing, it lands directly in Scott's pinned-default decision — the LiteLLM cheap/medium/opus aliases, ask's codex default, and Claude Code's model slot — and the 'beats GPT-6
2026-08-09T18:38:14Z: nanbeige-4-2-3b-looped-transformer closed (faded) — This repeats Scott’s established Capability Audit position—and the radar’s existing looped-transformer validation case—that vendor-reported capability and efficiency claims require independent testing. A genuinely strong 3B co
2026-08-02T01:21:17Z: looping-20b-token-efficient-pretraining closed (faded) — Scott already holds the relevant position in Capability Audit and Evaluation-Driven Development: paper benchmarks are insufficient without repeatable independent testing. Weight access could make the model actionable for
2026-07-31T09:23:43Z: solar-open2-performance-validation closed (faded) — Upstage’s claimed combination of agentic coding capability and lower long-context cost converges with Scott’s emphasis on economical, task-aware model routing and evaluating models inside real harnesses rather than from headli
2026-07-26T07:21:03Z: btl-3-ultra-quantized-coding-validation closed (faded) — Scott’s Capability Audit and Evaluation-Driven Development pages already hold the load-bearing position that deployment claims must survive repeatable, real-workflow evaluation, while the radar already tracks nearly ident
2026-07-24T16:25:19Z: laguna-s-2-1-open-model-validation closed (window-closed) — The need to validate Poolside’s vendor benchmarks with production-like, independent evaluation is already Scott’s Capability Audit and Evaluation-Driven Development position. It still bears directly on his hardware-awa