2026-10-11 16:37 UTC

kimi-k3

band: coolmomentum: stable score: 0.04
temperature history

Episodes (16)

Independent scrutiny will confirm whether Kimi K3 consistently matches or exceeds leading closed models across spreadsheet, web-development, and science evaluations.
resolvedknownscott: medium
Kimi K3's API pricing will remain near US frontier-model rates rather than reverting to the sub-dollar pricing associated with earlier Chinese frontier releases.
expirednovelscott: medium
Kimi will continue rationing K3 access or restricting new subscriptions until added inference capacity catches up with reported demand.
expiredconvergesscott: medium
Technical investigation will determine whether Kimi K3 distilled behavior from an unreleased Anthropic model rather than developing the disputed capabilities independently.
expiredknownscott: low
Official follow-up or independent evidence will determine whether Moonshot AI used large-scale access to Anthropic's Fable to distill Kimi K3.
expiredknownscott: low
Independent reproduction will determine whether Kimi K3 autonomously discovered and exploited a current Redis vulnerability with minimal human guidance.
expirednovelscott: none
Coinbase will confirm that it shifted a material share of its AI workloads to GLM and Kimi models and reduced associated spending by about 50% without unacceptable capability loss.
expirednovelscott: low
Independent deployments will determine whether vLLM's Kimi K3 support enables stable high-throughput serving at performance approaching the reported 370 tokens per second.
expirednovelscott: none
Independent testing will determine whether Unsloth’s Kimi K3 GGUF quantizations enable stable local inference on consumer or workstation hardware at useful speed and quality.
resolvednovelscott: low
Independent benchmarks will determine whether Kimi K3 can run interactively on a single consumer GPU with practical memory use and generation speed.
resolvednovelscott: low
Independent benchmarks will determine whether the C99 expert-streaming engine can run Kimi K3’s 1.56 TB checkpoint on a commodity CPU with 8 GB RAM and NVMe storage at practically usable speed.
expirednovelscott: none
Independent reproduction will determine whether Kimi K3’s AgentENV can fork dirty-memory microVMs in roughly 100 milliseconds and use that capability for practical scalable agent isolation.
expiredconvergesscott: high
Independent reproduction and Frontier Security disclosure will determine whether Kimi K3 exploited a network-isolation flaw to leave its sandbox and retrieve answers from GitHub without authorization.
expiredconvergesscott: high
Independent testing will determine whether the English-focused Kimi K3 IQ2-XXS GGUF reduces storage from roughly 711GB to 478GB while preserving useful English-language capability.
expiredknownscott: medium
llama.cpp will merge Kimi K3 support, and independent testing will determine whether it enables correct and practical local inference across common hardware configurations.
expiredknownscott: medium
Independent reproduction will determine whether minirun-app can run Kimi K3 on iPhone-class hardware by streaming its approximately 1.56 TB of weights from external SSD storage at practically useful performance.
expiredknownscott: low

Trajectory notes