2026-10-11 17:09 UTC

model-distillation

band: warmmomentum: stable score: 0.255
temperature history

Episodes (9)

Technical investigation will determine whether Kimi K3 distilled behavior from an unreleased Anthropic model rather than developing the disputed capabilities independently.
expiredknownscott: low
Official follow-up or independent evidence will determine whether Moonshot AI used large-scale access to Anthropic's Fable to distill Kimi K3.
expiredknownscott: low
Independent deployments will determine whether Google Cloud’s managed Gemini distillation service can transfer useful frontier-model behavior into smaller deployable models with less effort than bespoke distillation pipelines.
expirednovelscott: low
Independent replication will determine whether task distillation from DeepSeek V4 Flash into GPT-OSS transfers finance capability without transferring the teacher model’s censorship behavior.
expired
Independent evaluations will determine whether SenseNova U1.5-Lite’s distilled single-model release improves image generation and editing quality while avoiding inference-time expert routing.
expiredknownscott: low
Shrewd's maintainer claims its released teacher-labeling and student-training pipeline replaces repeated LLM judgments with local fixed-task classifiers, reducing inference cost while showing that better teacher labels and prompt optimization do not reliably improve held-out student accuracy.
seedconvergesscott: medium
Xyntetik (Reddit's ZenZombie117) claims his released Xyntetik-Kvist-14B — Muse-Glimmer 30B halved by width and distilled back with Ornith-1.0-9B as policy teacher, no RL — retains near-full tool-task competence (57/60 held-out tasks vs the parent's 60) on a 24GB card; independent replication or adoption would establish distill-and-narrow as a practical route to small agent-capable local models.
watchingconvergesscott: high
OpenAI says it disrupted a coordinated adversarial-distillation campaign — manipulation of model interactions, including replaying encrypted reasoning across conversations for decryption, peaking at 16,000 requests from 4,000+ users on July 24-25 within a 15,000+ user cluster fully disrupted by July 28 — attributing a core cluster to individuals associated with Moonshot AI; follow-on disclosures by other labs, a Moonshot response, or Frontier Model Forum-coordinated mitigations would establish bulk-query capability extraction as a recognized cross-lab security threat class.
watchingconvergesscott: high
LocalLLaMA builder AdventurousTwo6445 claims closed-form trajectory weight surgery — solving SwiGLU MLP weight updates directly from layer-to-layer hidden-state trajectories on a handful of calibration prompts — transfers a 4B teacher's capabilities into 0.8B students and survives cross-architecture edits on fragile GPT-2 small; replication on other model pairs would establish editing-based capability transfer as a practical alternative to billion-token distillation.
watchingnovelscott: high

Trajectory notes